Investors Trading Academy财经日历---2015.8.17~8.21
Investors Trading Academy财经日历---2015.8.17~8.21
發佈日期:2015年8月16日
Welcome to the Investors Trading Academy economic calendar of the week. Each week our news analysts review the upcoming economic events that you should be monitoring during the week. This week traders are hoping for a bit less stress after last week’s unexpected excitement. Concerns about China ratcheted higher last week after the country shocked the world by devaluing its currency. That raised the specter of a global trade war or that Beijing was panicking over a more severe economic slowdown than expected. Chinese officials already spooked global investors with their heavy-handed response to the crash in stock prices earlier this summer.
The biggest reason why China matters is size. Unlike Greece, Puerto Rico or other one-off situations, China has the scale to impact the entire globe.
It's now the world's second-largest economy, blowing past Japan and Germany in recent years. China is also the biggest consumer of raw materials like oil and copper, both of which have plunged in recent weeks. A more dramatic decline in Chinese growth could cause commodities to crumble further, unleashing financial havoc on countries that rely on those natural resources.
By the end of the week and after a rare public announcement from the PBOC reversed market stress.
Over the weekend surveys from the Wall Street Journal and Reuters both pointed to two interest rate increases by the Fed which should dominate trading this week. Gold should reverse gains while the US dollar surges. A number of Fed policy makers have signaled the first rate increase may come at their Sept. 16-17 meeting. “It will take a significant deterioration in the economic picture for me to be disinclined to move ahead,” Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta President Dennis Lockhart told the Journal last week.
The week kicks off on Monday with the release of the New York Federal Reserve manufacturing index, the housing market activity index from the National Association of Home Builders and data on capital flows.
On Tuesday, data on housing starts and building permits will be released together with the usual weekly chain store sales figures. The building permits data is the leading gauge on home building. Economists expect that permits fell by 10 per cent in July. But housing starts may have remained stable at a 1.17 million annual rate in the month.
On Wednesday, the July consumer price index (inflation) is issued. Federal Reserve policymakers would prefer to see some evidence that inflationary pressures are picking up before they decide to lift interest rates. The big event of the week will be the FOMC minutes release in the afternoon US time.
On Thursday the leading index is released together with data on existing home sales, the pivotal Philadelphia Federal Reserve business survey and the regular weekly data on claims for unemployment insurance.
By Barry Norman, Investors Trading Academy
欢迎来到本周的投资者交易学院经济日历。每个星期,我们的新闻分析检查,你应该在一周监测即将公布的经济事件。本周交易商都希望上周的意外的兴奋后少了几分压力。对中国的担忧逐步加大高后,上周该国的贬值其货币震惊了世界。这提出了一个全球贸易战争的威胁,或北京恐慌了比预期更严重的经济衰退。中国官员已经吓坏了全球投资者提供坠机的严厉反应在股价今年夏天早些时候。
为什么中国重要的最大原因是大小。与希腊,波多黎各和其他一次性的情况下,中国有规模,影响到整个地球。
它现在是世界上第二大经济体,吹过去的日本和德国在最近几年。中国也是原材料如石油和铜,这两个国家都陷入在最近几周的最大消费国。在中国经济增长更大幅下降会导致大宗商品进一步崩溃,对依赖这些自然资源的国家发动的金融浩劫。
到了周末,并从中国人民银行扭转市场压力罕见地公开宣布后。在由华尔街日报和路透社周末的调查都是由美联储应该在本周主导交易指着两个加息。黄金应该扭转涨势,而美元激增。许多美联储政策制定者暗示的首次加息可能会在其9月16号日至17日的会议。 “这将需要一个显著恶化的经济形势,我是懒得向前发展,”亚特兰大总裁洛克哈特联邦储备银行向杂志的最后一周。
本周在周一开幕的纽约联储制造业指数,由房产商和数据的全国协会的资金流向房市活动指数的发布。周二,住房开工和营建许可数据将连同平时每周连锁店销售数字公布。建筑许可数据是在家居建材的主要标尺。经济学家们预计,该许可证在七月下降了10%。但新屋开工数可能在117万年率月份保持稳定。周三,7月居民消费价格指数(通胀)发出。美联储政策制定者希望看到一些证据表明,通胀压力正在上升,他们决定加息之前。本周的大事件将是在下午美国时间的FOMC会议纪要发布。
上周四的领先指数与成屋销售数据一起发布的,举足轻重的费城联储商业调查和失业保险索赔每周定期的数据。
巴里·诺曼,投资者交易学院
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