Stanford Graduate School of Business2015.12.15---下一個高新技術產業是什麼？

Stanford Graduate School of Business2015.12.15---下一個高新技術產業是什麼？

0:12i think is somebody who sits here in Silicon Valley the trend that I find
0:16really interesting I think we're in the very early stages of mobile computing
0:20both for how the younger generation uses devices to communicate with each other
0:25how they'll build businesses the communicate with their customers I also
0:28think what we're learning about the human body is nothing short of
0:31spectacular how the brain works how r body reacts to drugs
0:36her body reacts to chemicals in the environment and how it's different an
0:39individual by individual basis some of the stuff that the human species is
0:43coming up with right now is truly spectacular in very exciting what that
0:47will lead to hundreds of businesses the entrepreneurs will show us I am super
0:56excited about what I think are going to be a whole host of next computing
1:01platforms you know it's smart house building it's the smart body so you know
1:07I think the next big thing is really sort of these new frontiers of computing
1:13technology and seeing how they turn into standardized platforms you know it's
1:17hard to imagine how those are going to turn out now but we can clearly see that
1:22there are people going after standardizing each of these categories
1:25and you know we're gonna turn around in 10 years and there will be very clear in
1:30our operating systems for a house in for commercial building in for a car that
1:34are hard to imagine today
1:37I believe one of the next big things that we're going to see is machine as
1:45sister services or products there's been a lot of talk about artificial
1:50intelligence to benefit as well as potential dangers of a fully automated
1:54robots robot that can make their own decisions that's a lively invalid debate
2:00but I believe that before we reached this point are highly intelligent robots
2:06are fully autonomous robot heart or whatever form they take a wait-and-see
2:09actually a much wider spread after machine assistance services where the
2:14machine is not in tithing over task entirely but humans are being assisted
2:21by machine by El reasons why data to make much better decisions to perform at
2:27a much higher level of productivity I'm a busy mom and so for me I would say the
2:37next big thing is anything that saves time so whether that be instant card for
2:44example shopping Express to go shopping Express came to my town and it was free
2:50and I remember thinking at some point this is not going to be free and they're
2:54gonna charge me too
2:56for this service and I thought I'm not going to fall for it and then six months
3:00down the road they sent me an email said your free account is over $100 for the
3:06year and I was so addicted to Google Shopping Express that I happily pay $100
3:12because now I need my toilet paper in four hours you know I perceive idea and
3:18then all of us and for hours and I am so delighted by that so for me that's what
3:24I would say everything that saves me time I you know I'm willing to pay for
3:28and I think that as people see the value that chances are they might be willing
3:34to pay as well
3:36what we're seeing now the automobiles now being opened up is like a workplace
3:45so there's been a lot of very large companies being bill to go after the
3:51home market to go after the workplace market but think about how many hours
3:56are spent in a car and the opportunity to address consumer issues or problems
4:01or opportunities in that car and that's just a great area that we're seeing a
4:07lot of activity because of the cars now opened up for a number of companies to
4:12offer their product
4:19the best ideas in terms of changing the world are ones that people don't
4:25actually know they want until after they see them until after they see the idea a
4:30simple example is over who would decide to go build another taxi service and it
4:35just doesn't sound like a smart idea to do yet they came up with a completely
4:39new model is that a company's technology enable company became a completely new
4:44Milan in a way to disrupt the Ministry of it until you saw you can really think
4:48about it and that's like wow that's a great idea so we don't know where the
4:54next great I will say this we live in a you know Silicon Valley I think of it as
5:01the Florence of the 21st century the five-hole innovation and change the
5:05world
5:06the underlying technology continues to to to to give to the community IC you
5:16know fifty years behind us and I see at least 50 years in front of us of
5:21increasingly capable technology which entrepreneurs are going to look at and
5:27have a vision
5:29that no one else has and be able to change the world in ways that we don't
5:32understand

0:12我认为这是人谁坐在这里在硅谷的趋势，我觉得
0:16真的很有趣，我认为我们在移动计算的早期阶段
0:20无论是怎样的年轻一代使用的设备互相通信
0:25他们将如何构建企业的与他们的客户我也沟通
0:28认为我们了解人体是什么无异
0:31壮观的大脑是如何工作的 - [R身体如何反应的药物
0:36她的身体反应的化学物质在环境和它是如何不同的
0:39个人用个别一些东西，人类物种
0:43未来与现在的问题是非常令人兴奋的是什么，真正的壮观
0:47会导致数百家企业的创业者会向我们展示我超
0:56兴奋，我认为将是下一个计算一大堆
1:01平台你知道这是智能家居建设是聪明的身体，让你知道
1:07我认为下一件大事是那种真正的这些新的计算前沿
1:13技术，看它们是如何变成标准化的平台，你知道这是
1:17很难想象它们是怎么会变成现在，但我们可以清楚地看到，
1:22还有人标准化每个类别后，将
1:25你知道我们要转身在10年内将有非常明确
1:30在一所房子我们的操作系统为汽车商业建筑，
1:34很难想象今天还用
1:37我相信，我们将看到下一个大的事情之一就是机器
1:45姐姐的服务或产品有已经有很多谈论人造
1:50情报中获益，以及潜在的全自动危险
1:54机器人机器人，可以作出自己的决定，这是一个生动的无效辩论
2:00但我相信，在我们走到今天这一步是高度智能化的机器人
2:06完全自主机器人心脏或其他形式，他们采取等待和观望
2:09其实一台机器援助服务后，更广泛的传播，其中
2:14机器是不是在什一奉献了全部的任务，但人类正在协助
2:21用机器埃尔原因数据来做出更好的决策，在执行
2:27生产力更高水平我是一个繁忙的妈妈等我，我会说，
2:37下一件大事是什么，节省了时间，不管是即时卡
2:44例如购物快车去购物快车来到我镇，它是免费的
2:50我记得当时我想在某些时候这不会是免费的，他们
2:54要过我充电
2:56这项服务，我想我不会爱上它，然后6个月
3:00在路上，他们给我发了一封电子邮件，说你的免费帐户超过100为$
3:06当年我是如此沉迷于谷歌购物快车，我高兴地付$ 100个
3:12因为现在我需要我的卫生纸在四小时内，你知道我看的想法和
3:18那么我们所有人和几个小时，我很高兴通过了所以对我来说，这就是
3:24我想说的一切，节省了我的时间我你知道我愿意支付
3:28我认为人们看到机会的价值，他们可能会愿意
3:34支付以及
3:36我们现在看到的汽车，现在被打开，是什么样的工作场所
3:45所以已经有很多非常大的公司是账单后去的
3:51国内市场走职场后市场，但是想想有多少个小时
3:56花费在了一辆汽车，并有机会来解决消费者的问题或问题
4:01或在汽车的机会，这只是一个巨大的领域，我们看到了
4:07很多东西，因为现在开辟了多家公司的汽车活动
4:12提供自己的产品
4:19在不断变化的世界而言最好的想法是那些人不
4:25其实知道自己想要直到后，他们看到他们，直到后，他们看到的想法
4:30简单的例子是在谁也决定去建一个出租车服务，并
4:35只是不听起来像一个聪明的想法去做但他们想出了一个完全
4:39新的模式是，公司的技术使​​能公司成为一个完全新的
4:44米兰的方式来破坏它的部，直到你看到你真的可以想到
4:48关于它，这就像哇，这是一个伟大的想法，所以我们不知道在哪里
4:54下一个伟大的，我会说这个我们生活在一个你知道硅谷我认为它是
5:01 21世纪的佛罗伦萨的五孔的创新和改变
5:05世界
5:06底层技术的不断向给予社会IC您
5:16知道我们后面至五十年我看到至少50年在我们面前
5:21其中企业家要去看看日益强大的技术和
5:27有一个设想
5:29没有人已经并能够改变世界的方式，我们不
5:32理解