Investors Trading Academy财经日历---2015.10.26~10.30

Investors Trading Academy财经日历---2015.10.26~10.30
發佈日期：2015年10月25日
Welcome to the Investors Trading Academy economic calendar of the week. Each week our news analysts review the upcoming economic events that you should be monitoring. Mario Draghi manipulated the markets like a master after the ECB held rates and policy as expected. Draghi’s comments sent the euro tumbling 200 points. On the heels of the ECB were surprising earning reports in the US. Traders were expecting a round of gloomy data, but reports have been pretty rosy. On Friday, an unexpected move from the People Bank of China sent equities and commodities rallying. This week’s Federal Reserve meeting could be anti-climactic. Expectations are low the Fed will provide any new policy insight in the coming week, and focus should stay on economic reports and a flood of earnings, from Apple, big oil, drug makers and others. In fact, strategists say more clarity on what the Fed might do should come from the employment report the following week. Market expectations put a less than 5 percent chance on the Fed raising rates at its two-day October meeting, and the odds are not even that high for the Fed's December meeting.
The ECB President signaled that more QE and lower deposit rates could come as soon as December, sending EUR lower across the board.
Fed inaction has put the Bank of Japan in a tough spot. BOJ Governor Haruhiko Kuroda is expected to announce an increase to the bond buying program to boost growth as the latest inflation data has disappointed. On Thursday Investors’ attention will turn to the October BoJ meeting where economists expect another round of easing. If confirmed, model simulations have shown that more QE should lift USD/JPY by more than 4%.
US data dominates the economic calendar in the coming week with the highlight being the Federal Reserve meeting on Wednesday. And the week kicks off on Monday with data on new home sales while the Dallas Federal Reserve manufacturing survey is released.
On Tuesday, the Case Shiller measure of home prices will be released with a gauge of consumer confidence and figures on orders of durable (or long-lasting) goods with the latter also serving as a proxy for business investment. Also surveys are released by the Richmond and Dallas Federal Reserve districts. On Thursday the first estimates of economic growth are expected for the September quarter with economists tipping annualized growth rate of 1.7 per cent -- a result that gives the Fed more ammunition to justify the low rate environment.
Also on Thursday is the release of weekly data on claims for unemployment insurance and pending home sales. And on Friday, data on personal income and spending is issued with the final reading of the consumer sentiment index for October from the University of Michigan.
By Barry Norman, Investors Trading Academy
欢迎来到本周的投资者交易学院经济日历。每个星期，我们的新闻分析检查，你应该监视即将公布的经济事件。德拉吉操纵的市场，如欧洲央行举行利率后，一个主站和政策预期。德拉吉的言论发出的欧元暴跌200点。欧洲央行的高跟鞋是在美国惊人的收益报告。交易商普遍预计一轮悲观的数据，但报告一直很乐观。上周五，来自中国的人民银行的意外举动发出股票和大宗商品凝聚力。本周的美联储会议可能是反高潮。期望不高，美联储将提供未来一周的任何新的政策见解，并重点应保持经济报告和洪水的收益，从苹果，大油田，制药商和其他人。
事实上，战略家说什么，美联储可能会做下一周应该来自就业报告更加清晰。市场预期提上了美联储加息不到5％的机会，在为期两天的10月的会议，其胜算都没有，甚至高美联储的12月会议。
欧洲央行行长暗示，更多的量化宽松政策，并降低存款利率，最早可能在12月，派出欧元全线走低。
美联储不采取行动已经把日本央行在一个艰难的地方。日本央行行长黑田东彦预计将宣布增加对债券购买计划，以刺激经济增长作为最新的通胀数据令人失望。上周四，投资者的注意力将转向10月份的日本央行会议，会上经济学家们预计，新一轮的宽松政策。如果得到证实，模型模拟表明，量化宽松政策更应该解除，美元/日元超过4％。
美国数据主导的经济数据在未来一周的重头戏是美联储会议周三。而周一当周揭开序幕新屋销售数据，而达拉斯联储制造业调查被释放。 周二，案例希勒衡量房价将公布消费者信心和数据对持久（或长期）的商品订单，后者也作为商业投资代理的标尺。此外调查，公布的里奇蒙德和达拉斯联邦储备区。
周四的经济增长的初步估计，预计9月季度的经济学家倾翻的1.7％的年增长率 - 因此，赋予美联储更多的弹药来证明低利率环境。 同样在周四的周度数据对失业保险和成屋待完成销售索赔的释放。上周五，在个人收入和支出数据和消费者信心指数的最终读数为10月密歇根大学发出。
巴里·诺曼，投资者交易学院