ARIRANG NEWS2016.4.21---2018年TPP對韓國的影響

ARIRANG NEWS2016.4.21---2018年TPP對韓國的影響
發佈日期：2016年4月21日
환태평양경제동반자협정 가입 여부, 앞으로 2년 동안 고려할 과제
As transnational trade becomes a norm in the global arena... much efforts have been made to tear down trade barriers. In the headlines in recent weeks and months have been debates across member countries of the Trans-Pacific Partnership... rightfully so... as it is the largest trade deal in history.
While member countries seek to gain domestic approval to enact the deal, non-member countries like Korea are weighing IN and OUT the possible impacts of the deal... and whether it's worth joining. Oh Soo-young tells us more in our News Features tonight.
12 countries across the Pacific signed the U.S.-led Trans-Pacific Partnership in February, sealing the largest ever trade pact in history.
Each member is now in the process of ratifying the agreement,... some taking longer than others as domestic approval differs from country to country.
As for Korea, which isn't part of the trade deal,... this is a time to measure up the pact's impact on the local market,... and whether to pursue a belated membership. According to a report by the World Bank, while most non-member countries won't be greatly affected from the deal, Korea stands to lose out significantly,... as its major trading partners make up 10 of the 12 TPP member countries which will cut down various tariff and non-tariff barriers as well as cooperate on intellectual property rights, SME-related issues and rules of origin.
This could undermine Korea's exclusive deals with those countries,... and knock off its competitive edge in their markets.
"Korea currently has bilateral FTAs with some of the world's biggest economies and consumer markets such as the U.S. and the EU. Korea competes with Japan across many markets, especially in the automobile sector in North America. Until now, we've reaped great advantages from the Korea-U.S. FTA. But we may see a gradual loss of such benefits. With Japan taking part in the TPP, it will be on par with Korea."
Also, being an export dependent country, with a large output of intermediary parts,... there are concerns Korea may be excluded from what experts predict will be a new global value chain. "Developing high value-added intermediary parts and materials is a core mission for our industry,... So during this structural shift, exclusion from the internal supply chain of TPP countries, may cause our exports to suffer. That's the greatest concern."
Over 13 billion U.S. dollars may go down the drain for Korea's parts and materials sector,... in the ten years after the deal takes effect. Considering potential losses, the Korean government expressed interest in joining the regional partnership since last year,... but there are various possible points of contention.
"Korea will have to consider how much it should pay in membership fee,... and how it will cooperate with Japan and Mexico, the two countries Korea doesn't have an FTA with within the group. Also, the U.S. will most likely request that Korea amends certain regulations and further liberalizes its markets for agriculture,... beef, automobiles and pharmaceuticals."
Taking on further concessions raises concerns for various sectors, especially agriculture, a traditionally sensitive market. Japan, with a similarly protected market environment, is currently facing backlash from various interest groups,... after it agreed to remove 81 percent of its tariffs on more than 23-hundred agricultural imports. Korea may be cornered into making similar agreements without much room for negotiation.
"As Korea's membership comes belatedly, it would be in a position where it will have to accept already established terms... So its bargaining power would be relatively weaker." Should the country decide to join,... experts say it's a question of when and how we do it.
"The TPP needs to expand its membership to reap the full economic benefits that were initially envisioned. But the negotiations won't be favorable for Korea if it stands alone. It can form a bargaining group with other Asian countries."
Experts predict the deal to go into effect in 2018. This leaves time for Korea to weigh the pros and cons of joining the bloc,... and analyze various ways to reduce the costs of a belated admission.
Oh Soo-young, Arirang News."
随着跨国贸易成为在全球舞台上的规范......已经取得了很大的努力，拆除贸易壁垒。
在最近几个星期和几个月的头条新闻已遍布跨太平洋伙伴关系的成员国辩论......理所当然的......因为它是贸易协议在历史上最大的。
尽管成员国寻求获得国内审批制定的协议，非会员国家，如韩国正在考虑进出交易可能造成的影响......以及它是否身价加盟。
哦洙年轻告诉我们更多的在我们的新闻特点今晚。
跨越太平洋的12个国家在2月签署了以美国为首的跨太平洋伙伴关系，密封在历史上有史以来最大的贸易协定。
每个成员现在在批准该协议，...一些比别人花费更长的时间作为国内审批的国家而异的过程。
至于韩国，这不是贸易协议的一部分，...这是衡量了当地市场的影响协议时，......以及是否追求迟来的会员资格。
根据世界银行的报告，而多数非成员国将不会受到很大从成交的影响，韩国代表向显著吃亏，因为......其主要贸易伙伴弥补12 TPP成员国10，将削减各种关税和非关税贸易壁垒以及知识产权，中小企业相关的问题和原产地规则进行合作。
这可能会破坏韩国的独家协议与这些国家，...在他们的市场收工竞争优势。
“韩国目前有双边自由贸易协定与一些世界上最大的经济体和消费市场，如美国和欧盟的韩国与日本的竞争对手在许多市场，尤其是在北美汽车行业。到现在为止，我们已经收获了很大的优势从韩美FTA，但我们可能会看到这样的好处逐渐丧失。 随着日本在TPP参加，这将是与韩国不相上下“。
此外，作为一个依赖出口的国家，具有产量大中介部分，......有人担心朝鲜可能与专家预测将是一个新的全球价值链中排除。 “发展高附加值的中间部件和材料是我们行业的核心任务......所以这个结构转变过程中，从TPP国家的内部供应链的排斥，可能会导致我们的出口受到影响。这是最关心的问题。”
该交易生效后，超过13十亿美元的U.S.可能付诸东流韩国的零部件和材料行业，在......十年。
考虑到潜在的损失，韩国政府表示，去年以来加入区域合作的兴趣，......但也有争论的各种可能的点。
“韩国将不得不考虑多少就应该在会员费支付，......它将如何与日本和墨西哥合作，两国韩国没有自由贸易协定同组之内。此外，美国将最有可能要求韩国修改了某些规定，并进一步放宽了市场对农业，牛肉......，汽车和医药“。 承担进一步的让步提高了各个部门，特别是农业，传统上敏感的市场担忧。

日本，与类似保护的市场环境，目前正面临着从反弹不同的利益集团，...后，同意以超过23百农产品进口删除其关税的81％。 朝鲜可能狗急跳墙为使类似的协议没有多少商量的余地。
“作为韩国的成员来自为时已晚，这将是在一个位置，它必须接受已经建立的条件......所以它的议价能力就会比较弱。”
如果国家决定加入，......专家说，这时候，我们如何做的问题。
“跨太平洋伙伴关系需要扩大其成员收获了最初设想的全部经济利益。但如果它是独立的谈判将不会是韩国有利，它可以与其他亚洲国家的谈判小组。”
专家预测，这笔交易才能生效于2018年。
这使得时间韩国权衡利弊并加入集团，...的利弊，并分析各种方法来减少迟来的入场费用。
哦洙年轻，阿里郎新闻“。