Investors Trading Academy财经日历---2015.8.31~9.4

Investors Trading Academy财经日历---2015.8.31~9.4
發佈日期：2015年8月30日
Welcome to the Investors Trading Academy economic calendar of the week. Each week our news analysts review the upcoming economic events that you should be monitoring during the week. Equities currencies and commodities were on a roller coaster as investors grappled with what could be a worse-than-expected slowdown in China, the world's second-largest economy. Those fears were reignited earlier this month when China unexpectedly devalued its currency, a move that signaled the government's concern about growth, and kicked into higher gear as economic data continued to show lackluster Chinese growth.
In the US, tepid earnings growth and uncertainty about the timing of the Federal Reserve's first increase in rates in nearly a decade are also sparking concerns.
What started out as a quiet week went completely haywire, you can never know what to expect. This week promises to be even more exciting as the economic calendar is packed full of major events and Fed speakers. Late last week Federal Reserve members seemed to turn back around supporting a September rate increase after US GDP soared above expectations. The CBOE Volatility Index rose 5.5 per cent to 27.53 on Friday, remaining above its 10-year average of about 20 for the sixth session in a row. The VIX is based on S&P 500 options that investors tend to rush to when they're fearful of a pullback.
The main focus this week will be Friday’s nonfarm payroll report on Friday. Solid data this week could send the Fed’s back into center stage. The jobs data is pivotal to the debate on when the Federal Reserve starts the rates ‘normalization’ process, that is, the time when the Fed lifts rates from zero, but for the Fed to be confident about lifting rates in September, members don’t just want to see job growth and lower unemployment but also evidence of inflation in the form of rising wages. Monday finds the UK closed for Summer bank holidays and the end of the week will see US traders beginning to begin the long Labor Day holiday.
On Tuesday, the ISM manufacturing index is released in the US. A reading of 53 is tipped, above the 50 line that separates contraction from expansion. Data on construction work is also issued with the monthly figures on new auto sales. The usual weekly chain store sales figures are also released.
In China, the official purchasing manager indices are released on Tuesday. That is, the National Bureau of Statistics will release the surveys covering both manufacturing and services sectors. The surveys are more reliable than the private sector surveys and the survey sample is much larger.
On Wednesday, the ADP report of private payrolls is issued, the precursor to Friday’s official job data. Economists expect job growth of around 205,000 in the month.
On Thursday traders will focus on the ECB rate decision and Mr. Draghi’s press conference. In the US estimates on international trade are issued for July. The trade deficit may have widened from US$39.8 billion to US$42 billion in the month. The ISM services index for August is also released on Thursday together with the Challenger series on job layoffs. The regular weekly data on claims for unemployment insurance is also issued.
And on Friday, the highlight of the week arrives. The August jobs market data is released with most focus on employment -- the non-farm payrolls series. The job market has improved markedly over time with job growth now consistently above 200,000 every month. And the jobless rate stands at 5.3 per cent. Economists tip job growth of 215,000 for August and unemployment at 5.2 per cent.
By Barry Norman, Investors Trading Academy
发布日期：2015年年8月30日
欢迎来到本周的投资者交易学院经济日历。每个星期，我们的新闻分析检查，你应该在一周监测即将公布的经济事件。证券货币和商品是在坐过山车，因为投资者在设法解决这可能是一个差于预期的中国经济增长放缓，世界第二大经济体。本月早些时候，这些担心被再次点燃中国时，意外地贬值本国货币，这标志着政府对增长担忧的举动，并踢入高挡的经济数据继续呈现低迷的中国经济增长。
在近十年的美国，不温不火的盈利增长和不确定性的利率美联储首次加息的时机也引发了担忧。
什么开始了作为一个安静的一周又完全失控，你永远无法知道会发生什么。本周有望随着经济日历挤满重大活动和美联储音箱会更加精彩。上周晚些时候，美联储成员似乎回头周边配套九月份加息后，美国的国内生产总值大幅上涨高于预期。芝加哥期权交易所波动率指数上涨了5.5％，至27.53上周五，仍高于第六届会议在连续的10年平均约20。波动率指数是基于标普500指数期权的投资者往往会赶去时，他们害怕一个回调。
主要的重点将在本周五上周五非农就业报告。可靠的数据，本周可以发送美联储回中心舞台。该就业数据是关键，当美联储开始利率“正常化”的过程，也就是当美联储升降机率从零时间上的争论，但美联储是信心加息在九月，成员不要“牛逼只是想看看在工资上涨的形式就业增长通胀和降低失业率，而且证据。
周一发现英国休市夏季银行假日和周末会看到美国交易商开始开始漫长的五一假期。
周二，ISM制造业指数在美国发行。 53读数倾斜，上面的50行，从扩张分离收缩。在施工作业的数据也发给新的汽车销售月度数据。通常每周连锁店销售数据也被释放。
在中国，官方的采购经理指数周二公布。也就是说，统计数据的国家统计局将发布涵盖制造业和服务业调查。该调查是比私人部门的调查更可靠，调查样本要大得多。
周三，私营企业就业的ADP报告发出后，前体到周五的官方就业数据。经济学家预计当月就业增长约为205,000。
周四投资者将重点关注欧洲央行利率决议和德拉吉的新闻发布会。在对国际贸易的美国估计发出七月。贸易赤字可能已经从美国在本月扩大$ 39.8十亿至US $ 42个十亿。 ISM服务业指数8月份也发布在周四与挑战者系列工作的裁员。还发表了关于失业保险索赔每周定期的数据。
而上周五，本周的重头戏到来。八月份就业市场数据发布与最注重就业 - 非农就业数据系列。就业市场有所改善显着随着时间的推移与就业增长持续，现在20万台以上每月。而失业率维持在5.3％。经济学家小费就业增长21.5万的月失业率为5.2％。
巴里·诺曼，投资者交易学院