Investors Trading Academy财经日历---2015.9.14~9.18

Investors Trading Academy财经日历---2015.9.14~9.18
發佈日期：2015年9月13日
Welcome to the Investors Trading Academy economic calendar of the week. Each week our news analysts review the upcoming economic events that you should be monitoring. This week’s focus will dead on the Federal Reserve decision due on Thursday afternoon. Most headlines will center on comments about what to expect from the Fed. The Federal Reserve could raise rates this month for the first time since 2006, although it is still not certain. All other events and data take a back seat, even if they still carry a degree of weight, such as UK unemployment data. It would be foolhardy to predict what will happen to asset prices, since even no move could provoke volatility if the accompanying statement and press conference provide hints about future policy.
On Sunday the monthly batch of Chinese economic indicators are released: retail sales, production and investment. There are signs that Chinese economic activity is gaining pace and investors would want to see further confirmation of that trend.
Expect annual retail sales growth near 10.6 per cent with production near 6.3 per cent and investment near 11.2 per cent. The risk is that the results print on the weaker side of expectations, especially given that China closed down heavy manufacturers and restricted transport in Beijing due to the World Athletic Championships. We would expect activity levels to lift in coming months. In the US, the week kicks off on Tuesday with retail sales figures, industrial production and the influential Empire state survey scheduled for release. Retail sales may have expanded by a good, but not great, 0.4 per cent in August while the underlying (non-auto) measure may have lifted by 0.3 per cent. The pull back in the 'flash' manufacturing index has economists expecting that industrial production may have eased by 0.2 per cent in August after the 0.6 per cent lift in July.
On Wednesday the key consumer inflation figures (the consumer price index) is released alongside the NAHB housing market index. The CPI for August should once again show that headline inflation is rather tame. In July the consumer price index rose 0.1 per cent to be up just 0.2 per cent over the year. Even stripping out food & energy prices, the core CPI rose by a tame 0.1 per cent in July. Economists tip the core CPI measure to fall by 0.1 per cent in August to be up 1.8 per cent over the year.
The US central bank policymaking group ,the Federal Open Market Committee, meets over Wednesday and Thursday with the decision announced at 4am Sydney time on Friday morning. The guessing game as to when the Fed will lift rates may not be resolved -- the probability of the meeting deciding the first interest rate rise in a decade -- is around 28 per cent. However, the text of the decision will be important in determining whether the Fed is on course to lift rates in December.
The FOMC’s rate decision, policy statement and economic projections will be delivered after late on the day on Thursday so markets will be able to react until Friday. Chair Janet Yellen will also participate in her bi-meeting press conference following the conclusion of the meeting.
By Barry Norman, Investors Trading Academy

发布日期：2015年年9月13日 欢迎来到本周的投资者交易学院经济日历。每个星期，我们的新闻分析检查，你应该监视即将公布的经济事件。本周的焦点将死在美联储决定定于周四下午。大多数的头条新闻将围绕有关美联储会发生什么评论。美国联邦储备委员会可能会在本月加息的第一次自2006年以来，虽然还未有定论。其他所有事件和数据退居二线，即使他们仍然带着一定程度的重量，如英国的失业数据。这将是愚蠢的预测会发生什么资产价格，因为即使没有任何举动可能会引发波动的情况随附的声明和新闻发布会提供有关未来政策的暗示。
上周日，每月一批的中国经济指标公布：零售销售，生产和投资。有迹象表明，中国的经济活动正在加速和投资者希望看到这种趋势进一步确认。 预计全年零售额增长近10.6％的近6.3％，投资生产近11.2％。风险在于对预期弱侧的结果打印，特别是考虑到中国关停重制造商和运输的限制在北京，由于田径世锦赛。我们希望活动的水平提升在未来几个月内。
在美国，当周周二揭开序幕零售数据，工业生产和有影响力的纽约州调查预定于发行。社会消费品零售总额可能会达百分之好，但不是很大，0.4八月份扩大，而底层（非自动）的措施可能已解除了0.3％。早在“闪光灯”制造业指数的拉动有经济学家预计工业生产可能在七月每升降百分之0.6后，在八月回落了0.2％。
周三主要消费通胀数据（消费者物价指数）被释放沿着NAHB房屋市场指数。消费物价指数的月应再次表明整体通胀相当温和。在七月份的消费价格指数上涨0.1％，至达到了0.2％以上的年份。即使剔除食品和能源价格，核心CPI在7月份上升被驯服了0.1％。经济学家尖端的核心消费物价指数由0.1下降百分之八月将增长1.8％，比上年。
美国央行决策小组，联邦公开市场委员会，满足了周三和周四凌晨4点，在悉尼时间公布在周五早上的决定。猜谜游戏至于何时美联储将加息可能不会得到解决 - 会议决定第一次加息是十年来的可能性 - 是大约百分之28。然而，决定的案文将是决定重要的美联储是否在课程上加息在12月。 联邦公开市场委员会的利率决定，政策声明和经济预测会后延期交付上周四一天，所以市场就能够到周五作出反应。主席耶伦也将参加她的双向会议新闻发布会之后的会议结束。
巴里·诺曼，投资者交易学院