STRATFOR2016.4.4---2016年4月指南預覽

STRATFOR2016.4.4---2016年4月指南預覽
發佈日期：2016年4月4日
Stratfor Managing Editor Cole Altom discusses global trade, Germany's changing economy and the challenges facing Russia's oil and natural gas industries.
Stratfor的总编辑科尔Altom讨论了全球贸易，德国的经济变化，面对俄罗斯的石油和天然气工业的挑战。



==========Google 翻译==========

0:05the global economy has struggled to the better part of the decade thanks in part
0:08to fluctuations in global trade historically global trade as effective
0:12global GDP and a fairly predictable manner as trade grew so too did global
0:16GDP
0:17the 2008 2009 financial crisis undermined the link between trade and
0:21world's gross domestic product global trade a slowed and yet many of the
0:24world's economies continue to grow our feature story says out to show why this
0:28is so
0:29and what it means for the future of international commerce and trade also
0:31pertains to our story on Germany which has been the engine of European growth
0:35for the past 20 years it is important commodities and finished goods and has
0:39turned them into high quality manufactured goods before exporting them
0:42to the rest of Europe into the world and the model made the country wealthy even
0:46if it hurt the European Union as a whole
0:48another German economy is changing to being joined by experts for many years
0:51growth in Germany now relies on household consumption and government
0:54spending mister darman is the product of various wire trends and it continues all
0:58have implications not just for Germany before the rest of Europe meanwhile
1:02Russia's economy continues to suffer
1:05oil natural gas industries are in desperate need of foreign financing with
1:08energy prices low and Western sanctions making the country's recession worse its
1:12oil companies have already been forced to put some of their largest project on
1:14hold Russian leaders however may have found a partial solution but it's a
1:19solution that requires a very difficult geopolitical task improving Russia's
1:22troubled relationship with japan which holds a lot of the money for russian
1:26industry so desperately needs for these and other stories check on April issue
1:30of compass which publishes today



0:05全球经济一直在努力在部分得益于十年的大部分时间
0:08全球贸易历史上的全球贸易波动的有效
0:12全球GDP和比较可预测的方式为贸易增长那么太做全球
0:16国内生产总值
0:17 2008年2009年的金融危机破坏了贸易和之间的联系
0:21全球国内生产总值全球贸易放缓，但许多
0:24世界经济继续增长，我们的功能故事说出来说明为什么
0:28如此
0:29这意味着什么国际商贸也是未来
0:31属于我们的故事德国这一直是欧洲经济增长的发动机
0:35在过去的20年是非常重要的商品和制成品，具有
0:39使他们成为高品质的制造品出口之前
0:42以使该国富裕甚至其余欧洲走向世界和模型
0:46如果它伤害了欧盟作为一个整体
0:48另德国经济正在发生变化，以专家被连接了许多年
0:51德国现在的增长依赖于居民消费和政府
0:54支出老总达尔曼是各种趋势线的产品，并继续所有
0:58欧洲其他国家同时前有不只是德国的影响
1:02俄罗斯经济继续遭受
1:05石油天然气行业都在与国外融资的迫切需要

1:08能源价格低，使该国的经济衰退更糟糕的西方制裁其 1:12石油公司已经被迫把他们的一些大项目对
1:14持有俄罗斯领导人却可能已经找到了部分解决方案，但它是一个
1:19解决方案需要一个非常困难的地缘政治任务，提高俄罗斯
1:22与日本的关系陷入困境持有大量的资金用于俄罗斯
1:26行业迫切需要为这些和其他的故事检查四月号
1:30指南针目前出版