Top Lists2016.3.10---10個國家未來可能獨立

Top Lists2016.3.10---10個國家未來可能獨立
發佈日期：2016年3月10日
The world is changing and many around the world are eagerly awaiting their independence. These are 10 Countries That Might Soon Exist.
世界正在发生变化，许多在世界各地都在热切期待他们的独立性。这些都是可能很快就会存在10多个国家


0:00 (soft music) 0:04 - [Voiceover] For centuries the region of Catalonia 0:06has desired to become independent from Spain. 0:09 To this day, the issue of Catalonian independence 0:11remains a fiercely debated issue 0:13 in Spanish politics. 0:15As we mention in our video about 10 countries 0:16 that may not survive the next 20 years, 0:19 Catalonians even created a human chain 0:21around their country to show their clear desire 0:23 for independence. 0:24 With Spain's economy in shambles, 0:26it's no wonder calls for Catalonian independence 0:28 have grown stronger over the years. 0:30 Current polls in Catalonia are nearly unanimous 0:33 in predicting that about 50 to 60 percent 0:35 of Catalonian voters would approve independence 0:37 during any referendum. 0:39 And within the last 15 years, 0:41 support for Catalonian independence 0:43 has gone from 30 percent support to 55 percent support 0:46 in some polls. 0:47 This change shows that the independence movement 0:49in Catalonia is rapidly gaining momentum. 0:52 The Spanish government continues to insist 0:53that all Catalonian independence referendums 0:56 are illegal. 0:57 As to whether an independent Catalonia could survive, 0:59 Spain itself is more reliant on Catalonia

1:01 then Catalonia is reliant on Spain. 1:03 This is because the Spanish government 1:05takes more from Catalonia then it gives. 1:07 Spending only 57 cents in the region 1:10for every dollar of tax it's collected there. 1:12 On top of this, Catalonia accounts 1:14for a quarter of Spain's total net exports. 1:16 Until these issues are definitively solved, 1:18 it is very possible that the next 20 years 1:21 could see the creation of a free Catalonian state. 1:24 The island nation of New Caledonia 1:26 is scheduled to hold a referendum 1:27on the issue of its independence from France 1:29 by the year 2018. 1:31 And for the most part, 1:32 France seems unwilling to actively oppose this move. 1:35As they even agreed to the 1998 Noumea Accords, 1:38which gave New Caledonia greater autonomy. 1:41 As the referendum date approaches, 1:43 the citizens of New Caledonia 1:44 have already taken symbolic moves 1:46 to show their desire for independence from France. 1:48 New Caledonia has already designed its own flag, 1:51 as well as created a New Caledonian national anthem. 1:54 However, despite the clear popular support 1:56 for the creation of an independent New Caledonia, 1:59 the island is also unfortunately a victim

2:01 of what political scientists call the resource curse. 2:04France has expressed uncertainty 2:05 about allowing New Caledonia to become 2:07 truly independent. 2:08Because the island contains over 25 percent 2:11 of the world's known nickel reserves. 2:13 So far though, France has not taken 2:15 any definitive action. 2:17 And it is likely that once the referendum 2:18 takes place, New Caledonia will join the ranks 2:21of the world's youngest nations. 2:23 In the future the likelihood 2:25 of a united Korean peninsula 2:26is becoming more and more likely. 2:28 Although there are harsh political 2:30 and economic contrast between 2:31 North and South Korea, 2:32 both countries still hail from the same culture. 2:35 The reality is is that Korea's a peninsula 2:37 with one people and two governments. 2:39 Not unlike East and West Germany, 2:41 the Korean peninsula remains bitterly 2:43divided by a demilitarized zone 2:44 between North and South Korea. 2:46 In all likelihood, North Korea 2:48 will not survive another 20 years. 2:50 And at that point, both countries 2:51 will need to fall back on their contingency plans 2:54 for a united Korean peninsula. 2:55 A unified Korea certainly would be 2:58 a force to be reckoned with.

3:00This is because a unified Korea 3:01 would be able to call upon 3:02 both the former North Korean army, 3:04 which is currently the fourth largest army 3:06 in the entire world. 3:07 As well as the strong South Korean economy, 3:09 which is home to some of the world's 3:10 most advanced industries. 3:12 While this dramatic politic change 3:14 doesn't seem imminent, 3:15the future may just soon 3:16 bring us a unified Korea. 3:19 While the highly publicized 3:20 2014 Scottish independence referendum failed, 3:23 many in the Scottish National Party 3:26are still set on calling for another referendum 3:28 that may very well succeed in the coming years. 3:30 Scotland has a very strong independence movement. 3:33And the Scottish National Party remains popular in Scotland. 3:36 The only real barrier is the timing 3:38on another referendum on Scotland's independence, 3:41 which some have suggested might happen 3:42as soon as 2017. 3:44 Either way it's clear that the Scottish 3:46 won't give up on their quest for independence 3:48 so easily. 3:49 The issue of Quebec's independence 3:51 is an issue that simply won't go away. 3:53 For the most part, Quebec has very little in common 3:55with the rest of Canada. 3:57 In fact, Quebec still holds onto its French language

4:00 and heritage. 4:01 While referendums for Quebec's independence 4:02 were voted down in 1980 and 1995, 4:05 it's clear that the desire for independence of Quebec 4:07 is still strong to this day. 4:10 In fact, the 1995 referendum granted Quebec 4:12 a great deal of autonomy over its internal affairs. 4:15Over issues such as immigration, healthcare, 4:17 language policies, and education. 4:19 But while independence for Quebec 4:20 has remained elusive in recent years, 4:22 the imminent independence 4:23 of Catalonia and Scotland 4:25 has only reignited the smoldering debate in Canada. 4:28The numbers of those in support 4:29 of independence for Quebec 4:30 have gone up from just under 40 percent 4:33in the 1980 referendum, 4:34 to 49.43 percent in 1995. 4:38These poll results make it clear 4:39 that the movement for Quebec's independence 4:41 is only gaining momentum. 4:43 The future may still hold an independent Quebec. 4:45 In the past, the relatively unknown island 4:48 of Bougainville has declared its independence 4:50 from Papua New Guinea, not once but twice 4:52 in both 1975 and in 1990. 4:56 However, both attempts were violently suppressed 4:58 by the forces of Papua New Guinea,

5:00 which is the country that legally controls 5:02 the island of Bougainville. 5:04After a peace agreement was signed in 2000, 5:06it was declared that Bougainville is expected 5:08to hold some sort of independence referendum 5:10 between 2015 and 2020. 5:13 This bilateral deal also gave Bougainville 5:15 increased autonomy from Papua New Guinea. 5:17 While in the past the struggle 5:18 for the independence of Bougainville 5:20was quite violent and met with little success, 5:22 it is very likely a referendum will create the peaceful path 5:25 towards independence that many in Bougainville 5:27 have been waiting for. 5:29 Also known as Venice, this region of Italy 5:31 that is home to over five million people 5:33 has in recent years, taken steps towards independence. 5:36 A referendum on the issue of Venetian independence 5:38 from Italy was suppose to occur sometime between 5:41 2013 and 2014. 5:43But according to the referendum's proponents, 5:45 the effort was unexpectedly dropped. 5:47 About 56 percent of Venetians 5:49are in support of independence from Italy, 5:51 according to a January 2013 poll. 5:54 As Italy's economic condition worsens, 5:56 desire for a Venetian independence 5:58will only grow stronger. 5:59 Until the Venetian's grievances with Italy

6:01are addressed, the looming threat of Venice 6:04 breaking away from Italy will remain 6:05a very real possibility. 6:08 After the Somalian civil war of 1991, 6:10 Somalia's central government collapsed, 6:12 and various factions and warlords 6:14 all fought for power in the ashes. 6:17 Somaliland however defies this image. 6:19 Located in between Ethiopia and the Gulf of Aden, 6:22 Somaliland takes the expected secessionist paradigm 6:25 and flips it on its head. 6:27 This is because Somaliland is relatively stable, 6:29and a moderate democracy that is looking 6:31 for independence from a country synonymous 6:33 with failed governance and anarchy. 6:36 Since Somaliland declared its independence in 1991, 6:39no other countries have recognized this nation 6:41 of 3.5 million people. 6:43But this may yet change. 6:44The situation inside of Somalia 6:46 has been slowly improving in the recent years. 6:48 Meaning a formal diplomatic solution 6:50to the Somalian civil war could be just around the corner. 6:53It's likely when Somalia finally picks itself 6:55 up from the dirt, the republic of Somaliland 6:58will be in an excellent position 6:59 to secure its independence.

7:01 Unlike the other nations on this list, 7:03 the British territory of Anguilla 7:05 is likely to become an independent nation 7:07 with a whisper rather than a roar. 7:10 In fact, when Anguilla finally does become independent 7:13it's likely that most people won't even notice its creation. 7:16 As most people can't even find Anguilla on a map. 7:19 Regardless, Anguillan independence 7:21 is becoming a very real possibility. 7:23 The former prime minister of Anguilla, 7:25 along with many other government officials 7:27have openly voiced their support 7:29of total independence from the United Kingdom. 7:31 Anguilla has also recently gained 7:33 the right of self governance. 7:34 The current administration of Anguilla 7:36 has also stated that they are tentatively 7:38 in favor of independence, 7:40but observers still note that we don't know 7:42 what the future will hold for Anguilla. 7:44 When Anguillian independence is finally achieved, 7:46 it will likely come without much warning. 7:49 Kurdistan is a region of the Middle East 7:51 that is home to the Kurdish people, 7:53 which is one of the largest ethnic groups 7:54 in the world that does not have their own country. 7:57 Throughout their history, the Kurds have been repressed 7:59 by the various states and empires

8:00 that have carved up the Middle East. 8:02 Today however, it is likely that the conclusion 8:04of the Syrian civil war will see the creation 8:07 of an independent Kurdistan. 8:09This has become apparent due to the fact 8:10 that Kurdish fighters and militias 8:12 have already achieved de facto control 8:14 over large portions of Iraq and Syria. 8:17It would take very little for these regions 8:18 to band together and unilaterally declare 8:20 their independence. 8:22What remains to be seen 8:23 is whether or not the Kurds can also 8:25 retake their ancestral lands inside of Iran and Turkey, 8:28 as these areas are key components 8:30 of any future Kurdish nation. 8:32In 2014, an independence referendum 8:35 for the Kurds in Iraq and in Syria was planned. 8:37 But the rise of the Islamic state 8:38put these plans on hold. 8:40 It is likely that after the conclusion 8:42of the Syrian civil war, 8:44 this referendum will officially declare 8:45the creation of a Kurdish state. 8:48 It is also likely that the remnants 8:49of the shattered Syrian and Iraqi governments 8:51 will be to weak to serious oppose 8:53 the creation of Kurdistan. 8:56 For more top lists just like this, 8:57 be sure to leave a like and subscribe 8:59if you haven't already.

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0:00 （轻柔的音乐） 0:04 - [配音]几百年来加泰罗尼亚地区 0:06已经希望从西班牙独立。 0:09为了这一天，加泰罗尼亚的独立问题 0:11仍然是一个激烈争论的问题 0:13在西班牙政治。 0:15正如我们提到在我们对10个国家的视频 0:16可能无法生存，未来20年， 0:19加泰罗尼亚人甚至创造了一个人链 0:21他们的国家展示自己的明确愿望各地 0:23独立。 0:24随着西班牙的经济一团糟， 0:26它是加泰罗尼亚独立难怪通话 0:28多年来发展壮大。 0:30目前在加泰罗尼亚民调几乎一致 0:33在预测，约50至60％的 0:35加泰罗尼亚的选民会支持独立 0:37期间公投。 0:39而在过去的15年里， 0:41为加泰罗尼亚独立支援 0:43从30％的人支持了55％的支持率 0:46在一些民意调查。 0:47这一变化表明，独立运动 0:49在加泰罗尼亚正在迅速蓄势待发。 0:52西班牙政府将继续坚持 0:53所有加泰罗尼亚独立公投 0:56是非法的。 0:57作为一个独立的加泰罗尼亚能否生存下去， 0:59西班牙本身是加泰罗尼亚更加依赖

1:01那么加泰罗尼亚是西班牙的依赖。 1:03这是因为，西班牙政府 1:05需要从加泰罗尼亚更多然后它给。 1:07只花57美分在该地区 1:10对于税收每一美元它收集在那里。 1:12在此之上，加泰罗尼亚账户 1:14西班牙的净出口总量的四分之一。 1:16在这些问题得到解决的明确， 1:18它很可能是未来20年 1:21可以看到一个免费的加泰罗尼亚国家的建立。 1:24新喀里多尼亚岛国 1:26计划举行公投 1:27来自法国的独立性问题 1:29在2018年。 1:31并且在大多数情况下， 1:32法国似乎不愿意积极反对这一举措。 1:35当他们甚至同意1998年的努美阿协定， 1:38这给新喀里多尼亚更大的自主权。 1:41随着公投日期的临近， 1:43新喀里多尼亚的公民 1:44已经采取了象征性的举动 1:46以示对来自法国独立的愿望。 1:48新喀里多尼亚已经设计了自己的旗帜， 1:51并创造了一个新喀里多尼亚国歌。 1:54然而，尽管明确的民众支持 1:56为创建一个独立的新喀里多尼亚， 1:59岛上也不幸受害者

2:01什么样的政治学家称之为资源诅咒。 2:04法国已表示不确定性 2:05有关允许新喀里多尼亚成为 2:07真正的独立。 2:08由于岛上包含了超过25％ 2:11世界上已知镍储量。 2:13虽然迄今为止，法国没有采取 2:15任何决定性的行动。 2:17而且很可能，一旦公投 2:18发生时，新喀里多尼亚将加入这一行列 2:21世界上最年轻的国家。 2:23在未来的可能性 2:25一个统一的朝鲜半岛 2:26正变得越来越容易。 2:28虽然有严厉的政治 2:30与经济之间的反差 2:31朝鲜和韩国， 2:32这两个国家仍然来自同一文化冰雹。 2:35现实的情况是是，韩国是一个半岛 2:37一个人与两个政府。 2:39不不同于东德和西德， 2:41朝鲜半岛依然恨恨 2:43通过非军事区划分 2:44朝鲜和韩国之间。 2:46在所有的可能性，朝鲜 2:48将无法生存20年。 2:50并在该点上，这两个国家 2:51将需要退回到他们的应急计划 2:54为一个统一的朝鲜半岛。 2:55统一的朝鲜肯定会 2:58力不可忽视。

3:00这是因为，一个统一的朝鲜 3:01将能够在调用 3:02无论是前北朝鲜军队， 3:04这是目前世界第四大军队 3:06在整个世界。 3:07除了强劲的韩国经济， 3:09这是一些世界上的 3:10最先进的行业。 3:12虽然这个戏剧性的变化政治 3:14似乎并不迫在眉睫， 3:15未来可能只是很快 3:16给我们带来一个统一的朝鲜。 3:19同时大力宣传 3:20 2014年苏格兰独立公投失败， 3:23许多在苏格兰民族党 3:26仍然设置要求另一个公投 3:28可能在未来几年很成功。 3:30苏格兰有一个非常强的独立运动。 3:33而苏格兰民族党仍然在苏格兰受欢迎。 3:36唯一真正的障碍是时间 3:38关于苏格兰独立公投的另一个， 3:41其中一些建议可能会发生 3:42只要2017年。 3:44无论哪种方式，显然，苏格兰 3:46不会放弃自己的追求独立 3:48这么容易。 3:49魁北克独立问题 3:51是，只是不会消失的问题。 3:53在大多数情况下，魁北克具有共同很少 3:55与加拿大的其余部分。 3:57事实上，魁北克仍持有到其法语

4:00和遗产。 4:01虽然公投魁北克的独立 4:02在1980年和1995年被否决， 4:05很显然，魁北克的独立的愿望 4:07依然强劲，这一天。 4:10事实上，1995年的全民公决批准魁北克 4:12自治很大对其内部事务。 4:15在如移民问题，医疗保健， 4:17语言政策和教育。 4:19不过，虽然独立魁北克 4:20在近几年仍然难以捉摸， 4:22即将独立性 4:23加泰罗尼亚和苏格兰 4:25只有重新激起了加拿大闷烧辩论。 4:28那些支持的数​​量 4:29独立的魁北克 4:30已经从不到40％上升 4:33在1980年的全民公决， 4:34到1995年49.43个百分点。 4:38这些民调结果说清楚 4:39该运动魁北克的独立 4:41只蓄势待发。 4:43未来可能仍然持有一个独立的魁北克。 4:45在过去，相对陌生的岛屿 4:48布干维尔已经宣布独立 4:50从巴布亚新几内亚，不是一次，而是两次 4:52在这两个1975年和1990年。 4:56然而，这两种企图被暴力镇压 4:58巴布亚新几内亚的力量，

5:00其是合法控制国 5:02布干维尔岛。 5:04经过和平协议于2000年签署， 5:06有人宣称，布干维尔预期 5:08持有某种独立公投 5:10 2015年和2020年之间。 5:13这种双边交易也给了布干维尔 5:15从巴布亚新几内亚更多的自主权。 5:17而在过去的斗争 5:18布干维尔的独立性 5:20很暴力，收效甚微， 5:22这是非常有可能的全民公决将创建和平道路 5:25走向独立，许多在布干维尔 5:27一直在等待的。 5:29也被称为意大利威尼斯的这个区域 5:31这是超过五百万人 5:33在最近几年，采取走向独立的步骤。 5:36在威尼斯独立问题全民公决 5:38意大利是假设发生之间的某个时候 5:41 2013年和2014年。 5:43但根据公投的支持者， 5:45努力被意外下降。 5:47威尼斯人的约56％ 5:49在意大利支持独立， 5:51根据2013年1月调查。 5:54作为意大利的经济状况恶化， 5:56渴望一个独立的威尼斯人 5:58只会变得更加强大。 5:59直到威尼斯的委屈与意大利

6:01得到解决，威尼斯的迫在眉睫的威胁 6:04来自意大利的告别会保持 6:05一个非常现实的可能性。 6:08 1991年索马里内战结束后， 6:10索马里中央政府崩溃， 6:12以及各种派别和军阀 6:14在所有的骨灰争取权力。 6:17然而，索马里兰无视这一形象。 6:19位于埃塞俄比亚和亚丁湾之间， 6:22索马里兰需要预期的分离主义范式 6:25并翻转它发挥得淋漓尽致。 6:27这是因为索马里兰相对稳定， 6:29和温和的民主制度正在寻找 6:31从一个代名词独立国家 6:33失败的治理和无政府状态。 6:36由于索马里兰宣布独立，1991年， 6:39没有其他国家已经认识到这个国家 6:41 3.5万人。 6:43但是，这终究会改变。 6:44索马里内部的情况 6:46在近年来一直缓慢改善。 6:48这意味着正式的外交解决方案 6:50以索马里内战可能是指日可待。 6:53很可能，当索马里终于拿起自己 6:55从污垢，索马里兰共和国 6:58将是一个很好的位置 6:59以确保其独立性。

7:01与此名单上的其他国家， 7:03安圭拉英国领土 7:05很可能成为一个独立的国家 7:07用私聊，而不是一吼。 7:10事实上，当安圭拉终于没有成为独立的 7:13很可能是大多数人甚至不会注意到它的创作。 7:16因为大多数人甚至无法找到一个地图上安圭拉。 7:19无论如何，独立安圭拉 7:21正在成为一个非常现实的可能性。 7:23安圭拉的前总理， 7:25连同其他许多政府官员 7:27已经公开表示支持 7:29来自英国的完全独立。 7:31安圭拉最近也获得了 7:33自我管理的权利。 7:34安圭拉当前管理 7:36还表示，他们是暂时 7:38赞成独立， 7:40但观察家仍然注意，我们不知道 7:42什么样的未来将举行安圭拉。 7:44当安圭拉独立性终于实现了， 7:46它可能会来没有太多的警告。 7:49库尔德斯坦是中东地区的一个区域 7:51这是家庭对库尔德人， 7:53这是最大的少数民族之一 7:54在世界上不具有自己的国家。 7:57纵观其历史，库尔德人一直压抑 7:59由各个国家和帝国

8:00已经瓜分了中东地区。 8:02然而今天，它是可能的结论 8:04叙利亚内战将看到创建 8:07一个独立的库尔德斯坦。 8:09这由于以下事实变得显而易见 8:10库尔德战士和民兵 8:12已经取得了实际控制 8:14在伊拉克和叙利亚的大部分。 8:17这将需要对这些地区非常少 8:18联合起来，并单方面宣布 8:20他们的独立性。 8:22什么仍有待观察 8:23是与否的库尔德人也可以 8:25夺回伊朗和土耳其的内部他们祖先的土地， 8:28因为这些地方都是关键部件 8:30今后任何国家库尔德人。 8:32 2014年，一个独立公投 8:35对库尔德人在伊拉克和叙利亚的计划。 8:37但伊斯兰国家的兴起 8:38暂时搁置这些计划。 8:40很可能的结论之后 8:42叙利亚内战， 8:44这次公投将正式宣布 8:45建立一个库尔德国家。 8:48这也可能是残存 8:49破碎的叙利亚和伊拉克政府 8:51将是微弱的严重反对 8:53创建库尔德斯坦。 8:56欲了解更多顶级名单就这样， 8:57一定要留一个喜欢和订阅 8:59如果你还没有。

9:00和打手机，贝尔图标， 9:02或者如果你在桌面上 9:03打的齿轮图标，然后点击 9:05给我的所有通知。 9:07它确实有助于我们出去。 9:08感谢收看， 9:09我们将看到你们下一次。